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Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2018) 35 (2): iii–V.
Published: 01 August 2018
... it is to the impacts of climate change. At stake are the region's economic development achievements since the second half of the 20th century and improvements in living standards. Climate change may reverse the public health achievements and economic progress of Asia over the last 50 years. A business-as-usual...
Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2018) 35 (2): 31–57.
Published: 01 August 2018
...Christopher Costello I examine the estimated economic, ecological, and food security effects of future fishery management reform in Asia. Without climate change, most Asian fisheries stand to gain substantially from reforms. Optimizing fishery management could increase catch by 24% and profit by 34...
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I examine the estimated economic, ecological, and food security effects of future fishery management reform in Asia. Without climate change, most Asian fisheries stand to gain substantially from reforms. Optimizing fishery management could increase catch by 24% and profit by 34% over business-as-usual management. These benefits arise from fishing some stocks more conservatively and others more aggressively. Although climate change is expected to reduce carrying capacity in 55% of Asian fisheries, I find that under climate change large benefits from fishery management reform are maintained, though these benefits are heterogeneous. The case for reform remains strong for both catch and profit, though these numbers are slightly lower than in the no-climate change case. These results suggest that, to maximize economic output and food security, Asian fisheries will benefit substantially from the transition to catch shares or other economically rational fishery management institutions, despite the looming effects of climate change.
Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2017) 34 (2): 229–248.
Published: 01 August 2017
...Matthew E. Kahn Climate change could significantly reduce the quality of life for poor people in Asia. Extreme heat and drought, and the increased incidence of natural disasters will pose new challenges for the urban poor and rural farmers. If farming profits decline, urbanization rates...
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Climate change could significantly reduce the quality of life for poor people in Asia. Extreme heat and drought, and the increased incidence of natural disasters will pose new challenges for the urban poor and rural farmers. If farming profits decline, urbanization rates will accelerate and the social costs of rapid urbanization could increase due to rising infectious disease rates, pollution, and congestion. This paper studies strategies for reducing the increased social costs imposed on cities by climate change.
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 4. Steady-State Fishery Production with and without Climate Change for a Fishery with Globally Median Parameters Note: The solid line is without climate change and the dashed line is with a hypothetical 60% reduction in carrying capacity from climate change. Source: Author's
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 6. Effects of Climate Change on Carrying Capacity of Asian Fish Stocks Notes: Each line represents an Asian fish species. Shading indicates carrying capacity (relative to 2012 value) and thickness indicates maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of the stock. Source: Author's analysis
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 7. The Value of Reforming Asian Fisheries without Climate Change as a Fraction of Optimized Value without Climate Change MSY = maximum sustainable yield, NPV = net present value. Source: Author's analysis of data from Gaines, Steven, Christopher Costello, Brandon Owashi, Tracey
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 8. The Value of Reforming Asian Fisheries under Climate Change as a Fraction of Optimized Value without Climate Change MSY = maximum sustainable yield, NPV = net present value. Note: Shading indicates whether climate change is expected to have a positive (lighter shade) or negative
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 9. Does Climate Change Strengthen the Case for Fishery Reform in Asia? BAU Fishing Pressure Gradually Shifts to Open Access for Shifting Stocks MSY = maximum sustainable yield, NPV = net present value. Source: Author's analysis of data from Gaines, Steven, Christopher Costello
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 10. Does Climate Change Strengthen the Case for Fishery Reform in Asia? MSY = maximum sustainable yield, NPV = net present value. Note: Plotted for all stocks under the alternative business-as-usual assumption (with climate change, all stocks are fished at their current fishing
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Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2018) 35 (2): 1–30.
Published: 01 August 2018
... of high temperatures for 1960–2015, the analysis produces two primary findings. First, high temperatures significantly increase annual mortality rates in Asia. Second, this increase is larger in countries with cooler climates where high temperatures are infrequent. These empirical estimates can help...
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This paper presents an empirical analysis devised to understand the complex relationship between extreme temperatures and mortality in 16 Asian countries where more than 50% of the world's population resides. Using a country-year panel on mortality rates and various measures of high temperatures for 1960–2015, the analysis produces two primary findings. First, high temperatures significantly increase annual mortality rates in Asia. Second, this increase is larger in countries with cooler climates where high temperatures are infrequent. These empirical estimates can help inform climate change impact projections on human health for Asia, which is considered to be highly vulnerable to climate change. The results indicate that unabated warming until the end of the century could increase annual mortality rates by more than 40%, highlighting the need for concrete and rapid actions to help individuals and communities adapt to climate change.
Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2018) 35 (2): 113–130.
Published: 01 August 2018
...Maximilian Auffhammer; Tamma A. Carleton Agriculture in both the developing and developed country context is highly sensitive to weather shocks. The intensity of these shocks is likely to increase under climate change, leading to an ongoing debate regarding the ability of farmers to insulate yields...
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Agriculture in both the developing and developed country context is highly sensitive to weather shocks. The intensity of these shocks is likely to increase under climate change, leading to an ongoing debate regarding the ability of farmers to insulate yields and income against accelerating environmental extremes. We study crop diversity as an avenue for increased resilience. Diversity in agricultural systems has been suggested in the agroecology and environmental economics literatures as a powerful means of on-farm insurance, both through physical and market-based channels. However, large-scale empirical evidence of its effectiveness is lacking, and crop diversity is largely absent from the empirical climate impacts literature. We examine the insurance benefits of crop diversity in the context of India at the height of the Green Revolution, a period of rapid change in agricultural diversification due to the increased penetration of a small set of high-yielding variety crops. Building on a basic empirical model from the climate impacts literature, we show that areas with higher crop diversity of planted area display measurably more drought resilience, both in terms of gross and net revenues. We decompose this aggregate result to show that diversification has implications for farmer welfare both through physical (yield) and market (price) channels.
Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2018) 35 (2): 153–179.
Published: 01 August 2018
... allowances, covered sectors, allowance allocations, monitoring, reporting and verification, compliance and penalties, and offset markets. We assess the performances of the emission trading schemes among the three countries based on secondary-market allowance transactions. Considering heterogeneous climate...
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The People's Republic of China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea have launched individual emission trading schemes to control greenhouse gas emissions cost-effectively. This paper reviews key carbon market design elements in the three countries in terms of emission allowances, covered sectors, allowance allocations, monitoring, reporting and verification, compliance and penalties, and offset markets. We assess the performances of the emission trading schemes among the three countries based on secondary-market allowance transactions. Considering heterogeneous climate policy designs in the region, we explore various approaches for the linkage of East Asian carbon markets. Cooperation on carbon markets is instrumental for regional and global climate governance. It could not only help achieve cost-effective emission reductions in the region, but also signal the commitment of the three countries to climate change mitigation.
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 3. Status and Fishing Pressure for Asian Fish Stocks MSY = maximum sustainable yield. Note: Size indicates MSY and shading indicates whether climate change is expected to have a positive (lighter shade) or negative (darker shade) effect on carrying capacity through 2100. Source
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Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 5. Steady-State Economic Upside from Reform for a Fishery with Globally Median Parameters BAU = business as usual. Note: The solid line is without climate change and the dashed line is with a hypothetical 60% reduction in carrying capacity from climate change. Source: Author's
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Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2019) 36 (2): 185–214.
Published: 01 August 2019
...% of it spent on flood-related health care and the rest on drought-related health care. In Sri Lanka, both the frequency and intensity of droughts and floods are likely to increase because of climatic change. Consequently, the health burden associated with these events will likely increase. Table 7...
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We measure the impact of extreme weather events—droughts and floods—on health-care utilization and expenditures in Sri Lanka. We find that frequently occurring local floods and droughts impose a significant health risk when individuals are directly exposed to these hazards. Individuals are also at risk when their communities are exposed even if they themselves are unaffected. These impacts, especially the indirect spillover effects to households not directly affected, are associated with land use in affected regions and access to sanitation and hygiene. Finally, both direct and indirect health risks associated with floods and droughts have an economic cost: our estimates suggest that Sri Lanka spends $19 million per year directly on health-care costs associated with floods and droughts. This cost is divided almost equally between the public purse and households, with 83% of it spent on flood-related health care and the rest on drought-related health care. In Sri Lanka, both the frequency and intensity of droughts and floods are likely to increase because of climatic change. Consequently, the health burden associated with these events will likely increase.
Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2016) 33 (2): 28–55.
Published: 01 September 2016
... are supported by policy. Better total factor productivity growth could raise potential output by between 11% and 24% by 2040, while lower unemployment and higher participation rates could boost potential output by 10% or more in some South Asian economies. An improved investment climate could add between 6...
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This paper presents estimates of potential output growth for a sample of 26 Asian economies and projects potential output growth through 2040 under several scenarios. Results suggest that in the absence of further capital deepening, and assuming continued total factor productivity growth at recent rates, potential output growth across economies could slow from a median of 4.6% during 2010–2015 to 2.7% between 2035 and 2040. Demographic trends and an assumed stabilization in capital–output ratios account for most of the slowing. Much better outcomes are possible if trends are supported by policy. Better total factor productivity growth could raise potential output by between 11% and 24% by 2040, while lower unemployment and higher participation rates could boost potential output by 10% or more in some South Asian economies. An improved investment climate could add between 6% and 10% to potential output in most economies, while accelerating structural convergence (moving labor from lower to higher productivity sectors) could raise potential output by 10% or more in half of the examined countries.
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Published: 01 August 2018
, Maharashtra, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal. Source: Authors’ own calculation from data constructed by Sanghi, Apurva, K. S. Kavi Kumar, and James W. McKinsey Jr. 1998 . India Agriculture and Climate Data Set. Washington, DC: World Bank.
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Published: 01 August 2018
Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal. Source: Authors’ own calculation from data constructed by Sanghi, Apurva, K. S. Kavi Kumar, and James W. McKinsey Jr. 1998 . India Agriculture and Climate Data Set. Washington, DC: World Bank.
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in Temperature Variability and Mortality: Evidence from 16 Asian Countries
> Asian Development Review
Published: 01 August 2018
Figure 1. Distribution of Daily Average Temperatures (°F), 1960–2015 and Predicted Distribution of Daily Average Temperatures (°F), 2080–2099 CCSM3 = Community Climate System Model 3. Notes: This figure shows the historical average distribution of daily mean temperatures and predicted future
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Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
Asian Development Review (2020) 37 (1): 119–139.
Published: 01 March 2020
...: Incomplete
Approaches in Climate Change Politics .” Global Environmental
Change 13 ( 3 ): 195–206 . International Energy Agency (IEA) and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD) . 2016 . CO 2
Emissions from Fuel Combustion, 2016 Edition...
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By classifying international green and non-green trade for the period 1980–2015, this study investigates trends in green trade, exports, and imports as shares of total trade, exports, and imports, respectively. The general findings are that these green shares increased during the review period, albeit with the green shares for member countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development showing different trends than those of nonmember countries. Further, three countries at different stages of economic development—the People's Republic of China, the Republic of Korea, and the United States—each exhibit different trends in green trade over time. In particular, the green trade, export, and import shares of the People's Republic of China decreased over time, which is in contrast to the increases observed for the Republic of Korea and the United States during the review period. The findings suggest that efforts to persuade developing countries to accept international agreements to reduce greenhouse gas emissions should also consider the transboundary transmission of these emissions and their health effects.
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