Issues in Bayesian Analysis of Neural Network Models

Stemming from work by Buntine and Weigend (1991) and MacKay (1992), there is a growing interest in Bayesian analysis of neural network models. Although conceptually simple, this problem is computationally involved. We suggest a very efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme for inference and prediction with fixed-architecture feedforward neural networks. The scheme is then extended to the variable architecture case, providing a data-driven procedure to identify sensible architectures.