Humans possess a remarkable ability to rapidly form coarse estimations of numerical averages. This ability is important for making decisions that are based on streams of numerical or value-based information, as well as for preference formation. Nonetheless, the mechanism underlying rapid approximate numerical averaging remains unknown, and several competing mechanism may account for it. Here, we tested the hypothesis that approximate numerical averaging relies on perceptual-like processes, instantiated by population coding. Participants were presented with rapid sequences of numerical values (four items per second) and were asked to convey the sequence average. We manipulated the sequences' length, variance, and mean magnitude and found that similar to perceptual averaging, the precision of the estimations improves with the length and deteriorates with (higher) variance or (higher) magnitude. To account for the results, we developed a biologically plausible population-coding model and showed that it is mathematically equivalent to a population vector. Using both quantitative and qualitative model comparison methods, we compared the population-coding model to several competing models, such as a step-by-step running average (based on leaky integration) and a midrange model. We found that the data support the population-coding model. We conclude that humans' ability to rapidly form estimations of numerical averages has many properties of the perceptual (intuitive) system rather than the arithmetic, linguistic-based (analytic) system and that population coding is likely to be its underlying mechanism.

We investigate a model for neural activity in a two-dimensional sheet of leaky integrate-and-fire neurons with feedback connectivity consisting of local excitation and surround inhibition. Each neuron receives stochastic input from an external source, independent in space and time. As recently suggested by Softky and Koch (1992, 1993), independent stochastic input alone cannot explain the high interspike interval variability exhibited by cortical neurons in behaving monkeys. We show that high variability can be obtained due to the amplification of correlated fluctuations in a recurrent network. Furthermore, the cross-correlation functions have a dual structure, with a sharp peak on top of a much broader hill. This is due to the inhibitory and excitatory feedback connections, which cause “hotspots” of neural activity to form within the network. These localized patterns of excitation appear as clusters or stripes that coalesce, disintegrate, or fluctuate in size while simultaneously moving in a random walk constrained by the interaction with other clusters. The synaptic current impinging upon a single neuron shows large fluctuations at many time scales, leading to a large coefficient of variation (C V ) for the interspike interval statistics. The power spectrum associated with single units shows a 1/ f decay for small frequencies and is flat at higher frequencies, while the power spectrum of the spiking activity averaged over many cells—equivalent to the local field potential—shows no 1/ f decay but a prominent peak around 40 Hz, in agreement with data recorded from cat and monkey cortex (Gray et al . 1990; Eckhorn et al . 1993). Firing rates exhibit self-similarity between 20 and 800 msec, resulting in 1/ f -like noise, consistent with the fractal nature of neural spike trains (Teich 1992).

It is commonly assumed that temporal synchronization of excitatory synaptic inputs onto a single neuron increases its firing rate. We investigate here the role of synaptic synchronization for the leaky integrate-and-fire neuron as well as for a biophysically and anatomically detailed compartmental model of a cortical pyramidal cell. We find that if the number of excitatory inputs, N , is on the same order as the number of fully synchronized inputs necessary to trigger a single action potential, N t , synchronization always increases the firing rate (for both constant and Poisson-distributed input). However, for large values of N compared to N t , “overcrowding” occurs and temporal synchronization is detrimental to firing frequency. This behavior is caused by the conflicting influence of the low-pass nature of the passive dendritic membrane on the one hand and the refractory period on the other. If both temporal synchronization as well as the fraction of synchronized inputs (Murthy and Fetz 1993) is varied, synchronization is only advantageous if either N or the average input frequency, f in , are small enough.

We study the dynamics of completely connected populations of refractory integrate-and-fire neurons in the presence of noise. Solving the master equation based on a mean-field approach, and by computer simulations, we find sustained states of activity that correspond to fixed points and show that for the same value of external input, the system has one or two attractors. The dynamic behavior of the population under the influence of external input and noise manifests hysteresis effects that might have a functional role for memory. The temporal dynamics at higher temporal resolution, finer than the transmission delay times and the refractory period, are characterized by synchronized activity of subpopulations. The global activity of the population shows aperiodic oscillations analogous to experimentally found field potentials.