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Mathias Thoenig
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Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
The Review of Economics and Statistics 1–47.
Published: 28 January 2025
Abstract
View articletitled, Heat and Hate: Climate Security and Farmer-Herder Conflicts in Africa
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for article titled, Heat and Hate: Climate Security and Farmer-Herder Conflicts in Africa
We investigate the impact of climate shocks on farmer-herder violence, using geolocalized data on conflict events for Africa, 1997-2014. We find that a one degree temperature increase yields a 54% increase in conflict probability in mixed areas populated by both farmers and herders (versus 17% in non-mixed areas). Quantifying the impact of projected climate change in 2040, we find that -when factoring in the magnifying effect of mixed settlements- annual conflicts are predicted to rise by a third. Drawing on a fine-grained analysis of groups' mobility patterns, we show that resource competition is a major driver of farmer-herder violence.
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Articles
Publisher: Journals Gateway
The Review of Economics and Statistics (2024) 106 (2): 576–585.
Published: 19 March 2024
FIGURES
Abstract
View articletitled, Anti-Muslim Voting and Media Coverage of Immigrant Crimes
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for article titled, Anti-Muslim Voting and Media Coverage of Immigrant Crimes
We study how news coverage of immigrant criminality impacts voting in one of the most controversial referendums in recent years—the 2009 Swiss minaret ban. We combine a comprehensive crime detection data set with detailed information on newspaper coverage. We first document a large upward distortion in media reporting of immigrant crime during the prereferendum period. Exploiting quasi-random variations in crime incidence, we find a positive first-order effect of news coverage on support for the ban. Our quantification shows that, in absence of the media bias, the pro-ban vote would have decreased from 57.6% to 53.5% at the national level.
Includes: Supplementary data