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Renato Faccini
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Publisher: Journals Gateway
The Review of Economics and Statistics 1–45.
Published: 15 March 2023
Abstract
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The low rate of inflation observed in the U.S. over the past decade is hard to reconcile with traditional measures of labor market slack. We develop a theory-based indicator of interfirm-wage competition that can explain the missing inflation. Key to this result is a drop in the rate of on-the-job search, which lowers the intensity of interfirm-wage competition to retain or hire workers. We estimate the on-the-job search rate from aggregate labor-market flows and show that its recent drop is corroborated by survey data. During “the great resignation”, interfirm-wage competition rose, raising inflation by around 1 percentage point in 2021.
Includes: Supplementary data