MIT Press

Table 2.

Contribution of Demographic Change to Future Economic Growth, 1990–2025

Regions	Projected Growth: Population (%)	Projected Growth: Economically Active Population (%)	Projected Growth: Dependent Population (%)
				Estimated Contribution, 1990–2025 (4 model specifications)
				(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)
Asia	1.36	1.61	0.99	0.61	0.99	0.50	0.43
East Asia	0.43	0.20	0.87	–0.40	–0.14	–0.44	–0.38
Southeast Asia	1.29	1.66	0.63	0.83	1.10	0.73	0.62
South Asia	1.65	2.11	0.90	1.02	1.38	0.90	0.77
Africa	2.40	2.78	1.88	0.98	1.63	0.73	0.68
Europe	0.17	–0.004	0.48	–0.32	–0.16	–0.34	–0.29
South America	1.50	1.87	0.94	0.82	1.15	0.71	0.60
North America	1.28	1.33	1.21	0.21	0.645	0.11	0.10
Oceania	1.08	0.93	1.37	–0.22	0.24	–0.31	–0.26

Regions	Projected Growth: Population (%)	Projected Growth: Economically Active Population (%)	Projected Growth: Dependent Population (%)
				Estimated Contribution, 1990–2025 (4 model specifications)
				(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)
Asia	1.36	1.61	0.99	0.61	0.99	0.50	0.43
East Asia	0.43	0.20	0.87	–0.40	–0.14	–0.44	–0.38
Southeast Asia	1.29	1.66	0.63	0.83	1.10	0.73	0.62
South Asia	1.65	2.11	0.90	1.02	1.38	0.90	0.77
Africa	2.40	2.78	1.88	0.98	1.63	0.73	0.68
Europe	0.17	–0.004	0.48	–0.32	–0.16	–0.34	–0.29
South America	1.50	1.87	0.94	0.82	1.15	0.71	0.60
North America	1.28	1.33	1.21	0.21	0.645	0.11	0.10
Oceania	1.08	0.93	1.37	–0.22	0.24	–0.31	–0.26

Source: Bloom and Williamson (1998), Table 7.