Figure 5 shows the evolution of nominal yields of IGBs. Figure 6 shows the evolution of the short-term interest rate along with the RBI's policy rates (repo rates and reverse repo rates). The rate of inflation is defined as the year-on-year percentage change in the total consumer price index for all items. Growth in industrial production is the year-on-year percentage change in the index of industrial activity in India. The ratio of government debt to nominal GDP is used here as the government fiscal variable. The ratio of private sector credit (from all sectors) to nominal GDP is used to measure credit growth. The Institute for International Monetary Affairs’ index of the volatility in global bond markets is a proxy for global investors’ risk appetite. An increase (decrease) in volatility in global bond markets means that investors’ perception of and appetite for risk has risen (declined). The nominal effective exchange rate, calculated by the Bank for International Settlements, is the exchange rate used here. The data of all the variables are collected from Macrobond's (various years) data services. Table 1 provides a summary of the data and detailed descriptions of the variables. The monthly time series dataset runs from March 1999 to October 2015, while the quarterly dataset includes time series variables from the third quarter of 2003 to the second quarter of 2015.
Figure 5. 

The Evolution of Indian Government Bond Yields of Selected Tenors

Source: Macrobond. Various years. Macrobond subscription services (accessed July 12, 2017).

Figure 5. 

The Evolution of Indian Government Bond Yields of Selected Tenors

Source: Macrobond. Various years. Macrobond subscription services (accessed July 12, 2017).

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Figure 6. 

The Evolution of Policy Rates and Short-Term Interest Rates in India

Source: Macrobond. Various years. Macrobond subscription services (accessed July 12, 2017).

Figure 6. 

The Evolution of Policy Rates and Short-Term Interest Rates in India

Source: Macrobond. Various years. Macrobond subscription services (accessed July 12, 2017).

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Table 1. 
Summary of the Data and Variables
Variable Labels Data Description, Date Range Frequency Sources 
Indian Short-Term Interest Rates 
TB3M; TB3M_Q Government benchmarks, auction rate, 3-month % yield; Jan 1999–Oct 2015; Q1 1999–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Reserve Bank of India; Macrobond converted to quarterly 
Indian Government Bond Yields 
IGB2YR; IGB2YR_Q Government bond, 2-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond converted to quarterly 
IGB3YR; IGB3YR_Q Government bond, 3-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond converted to quarterly 
IGB5YR; IGB5YR_Q Government bond, 5-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly; converted to quarterly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond 
IGB7YR; IGB7YR_Q Government bond, 7-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q2 2015 Daily; converted to monthly; converted to quarterly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond 
IGB10YR; IGB10YR_Q Government bonds, 10-year % yield; Jan 1999–Oct 2015; Q1 1999–Q2 2015 Daily; converted to monthly; converted to quarterly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond 
Inflation 
TCPIYOY; TCPIYOY_Q India, consumer price index, total, % change, year on year; Jan 2007–Oct 2015; Q1 2007–Q2 2015 Monthly; converted to quarterly The Economist; Macrobond 
Economic Activity 
IPIYOY; IPIYOY_Q Industrial production, % change, year on year; Jan 1999–Oct 2015; Q1 1999–Q2 2015 Monthly; converted to quarterly Central Statistical Organisation, India; Macrobond 
Government Fiscal Variable 
DRATIO_Q Government debt, % of nominal GDP; Q1 1999–Q2 2015 Quarterly Indian Ministry of Commerce and Industry; Macrobond 
Credit Growth 
CREDIT Credit from all sectors to the private sector, % of nominal GDP; Jan 1999–Dec 2015 Quarterly; converted to monthly using cubic interpolation Bank for International Settlements; Macrobond 
Investors’ Risk Appetite 
RISK Global bond market volatility index; Jan 1999–Dec 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Institute for International Monetary Affairs; Macrobond 
Exchange Rate 
NEER Nominal effective exchange rate index, broad; Jan 1999–Dec 2015 Monthly Bank for International Settlements; Macrobond 
Variable Labels Data Description, Date Range Frequency Sources 
Indian Short-Term Interest Rates 
TB3M; TB3M_Q Government benchmarks, auction rate, 3-month % yield; Jan 1999–Oct 2015; Q1 1999–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Reserve Bank of India; Macrobond converted to quarterly 
Indian Government Bond Yields 
IGB2YR; IGB2YR_Q Government bond, 2-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond converted to quarterly 
IGB3YR; IGB3YR_Q Government bond, 3-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond converted to quarterly 
IGB5YR; IGB5YR_Q Government bond, 5-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q3 2015 Daily; converted to monthly; converted to quarterly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond 
IGB7YR; IGB7YR_Q Government bond, 7-year % yield; Mar 2003–Oct 2015; Q2 2003–Q2 2015 Daily; converted to monthly; converted to quarterly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond 
IGB10YR; IGB10YR_Q Government bonds, 10-year % yield; Jan 1999–Oct 2015; Q1 1999–Q2 2015 Daily; converted to monthly; converted to quarterly Clearing Corporation of India; Macrobond 
Inflation 
TCPIYOY; TCPIYOY_Q India, consumer price index, total, % change, year on year; Jan 2007–Oct 2015; Q1 2007–Q2 2015 Monthly; converted to quarterly The Economist; Macrobond 
Economic Activity 
IPIYOY; IPIYOY_Q Industrial production, % change, year on year; Jan 1999–Oct 2015; Q1 1999–Q2 2015 Monthly; converted to quarterly Central Statistical Organisation, India; Macrobond 
Government Fiscal Variable 
DRATIO_Q Government debt, % of nominal GDP; Q1 1999–Q2 2015 Quarterly Indian Ministry of Commerce and Industry; Macrobond 
Credit Growth 
CREDIT Credit from all sectors to the private sector, % of nominal GDP; Jan 1999–Dec 2015 Quarterly; converted to monthly using cubic interpolation Bank for International Settlements; Macrobond 
Investors’ Risk Appetite 
RISK Global bond market volatility index; Jan 1999–Dec 2015 Daily; converted to monthly Institute for International Monetary Affairs; Macrobond 
Exchange Rate 
NEER Nominal effective exchange rate index, broad; Jan 1999–Dec 2015 Monthly Bank for International Settlements; Macrobond 

GDP = gross domestic product, Q = quarter.

Source: Authors’ compilation.

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