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Table 3. 
The Relationship between Measures of RIF Criteria and the Probability of Being Laid Off
Full SampleEvaluation Score Sample
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)
0 years seniority 0.222*** 0.087*** 0.176*** 0.112*** 0.040*** 
 (0.013) (0.011) (0.013) (0.010) (0.008) 
1 year seniority 0.035*** 0.038*** 0.028*** 0.009 0.016** 
 (0.008) (0.007) (0.008) (0.006) (0.006) 
2 years seniority 0.063*** 0.065*** 0.057*** 0.040*** 0.046*** 
 (0.009) (0.008) (0.009) (0.007) (0.007) 
3 years seniority 0.022* 0.043*** 0.017* 0.010 0.032*** 
 (0.009) (0.009) (0.008) (0.007) (0.008) 
Retired teacher  0.890***   0.914*** 
  (0.018)   (0.012) 
Late hire  0.398***   0.327*** 
  (0.029)   (0.030) 
Licensure deficiency  0.065***   0.051*** 
  (0.010)   (0.009) 
Evaluation score    −0.039*** −0.040*** 
    (0.003) (0.003) 
Licensure type fixed effects    
Observations 17,409 17,409 16,211 16,211 16,211 
Full SampleEvaluation Score Sample
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)
0 years seniority 0.222*** 0.087*** 0.176*** 0.112*** 0.040*** 
 (0.013) (0.011) (0.013) (0.010) (0.008) 
1 year seniority 0.035*** 0.038*** 0.028*** 0.009 0.016** 
 (0.008) (0.007) (0.008) (0.006) (0.006) 
2 years seniority 0.063*** 0.065*** 0.057*** 0.040*** 0.046*** 
 (0.009) (0.008) (0.009) (0.007) (0.007) 
3 years seniority 0.022* 0.043*** 0.017* 0.010 0.032*** 
 (0.009) (0.009) (0.008) (0.007) (0.008) 
Retired teacher  0.890***   0.914*** 
  (0.018)   (0.012) 
Late hire  0.398***   0.327*** 
  (0.029)   (0.030) 
Licensure deficiency  0.065***   0.051*** 
  (0.010)   (0.009) 
Evaluation score    −0.039*** −0.040*** 
    (0.003) (0.003) 
Licensure type fixed effects    
Observations 17,409 17,409 16,211 16,211 16,211 

Notes:*p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001. Cells represent average marginal effect estimates derived from logistic regression models. Robust standard errors reported in parentheses. Principal evaluation scores are standardized in a teacher-year-level data set. These analyses include 619 RIFed teachers in 2009 and 384 RIFed teachers in 2010 for whom data on all descriptive measures other than performance are available.

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