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Table 4.

The Relationship between Licensure Type and the Probability of Being Laid Off

	Full Sample		Evaluation Score Sample
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
Licensure Type
Mathematics	0.035^***	0.016^**	0.035^***	0.028^***	0.013^*
	(0.008)	(0.006)	(0.008)	(0.007)	(0.005)
English language arts	0.014^**	0.007⁺	0.017^**	0.022^***	0.011^*
	(0.005)	(0.004)	(0.006)	(0.006)	(0.005)
Science	0.017^*	0.005	0.016^*	0.010	0.002
	(0.007)	(0.005)	(0.008)	(0.007)	(0.005)
Social studies	0.013^*	0.008⁺	0.012⁺	0.012⁺	0.009⁺
	(0.006)	(0.005)	(0.007)	(0.006)	(0.005)
Foreign language	0.060^***	0.026^**	0.061^***	0.059^***	0.026^*
	(0.015)	(0.010)	(0.015)	(0.014)	(0.010)
Arts	0.024^**	0.024^**	0.028^**	0.034^***	0.032^***
	(0.009)	(0.008)	(0.010)	(0.010)	(0.009)
Physical education	0.017⁺	0.016⁺	0.021^*	0.030^**	0.019⁺
	(0.010)	(0.009)	(0.011)	(0.011)	(0.010)
English as a second language	−0.002	0.001	−0.002	0.002	0.008
	(0.009)	(0.008)	(0.009)	(0.010)	(0.010)
Special education	−0.005	0.003	−0.002	0.000	0.006
	(0.005)	(0.005)	(0.006)	(0.006)	(0.006)
Seniority (0–3 years)		Y			Y
Retired teacher		Y			Y
Late hire		Y			Y
Licensure deficiency		Y			Y
Evaluation score				Y	Y
Observations	17,409	17,409	16,211	16,211	16,211

	Full Sample		Evaluation Score Sample
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
Licensure Type
Mathematics	0.035^***	0.016^**	0.035^***	0.028^***	0.013^*
	(0.008)	(0.006)	(0.008)	(0.007)	(0.005)
English language arts	0.014^**	0.007⁺	0.017^**	0.022^***	0.011^*
	(0.005)	(0.004)	(0.006)	(0.006)	(0.005)
Science	0.017^*	0.005	0.016^*	0.010	0.002
	(0.007)	(0.005)	(0.008)	(0.007)	(0.005)
Social studies	0.013^*	0.008⁺	0.012⁺	0.012⁺	0.009⁺
	(0.006)	(0.005)	(0.007)	(0.006)	(0.005)
Foreign language	0.060^***	0.026^**	0.061^***	0.059^***	0.026^*
	(0.015)	(0.010)	(0.015)	(0.014)	(0.010)
Arts	0.024^**	0.024^**	0.028^**	0.034^***	0.032^***
	(0.009)	(0.008)	(0.010)	(0.010)	(0.009)
Physical education	0.017⁺	0.016⁺	0.021^*	0.030^**	0.019⁺
	(0.010)	(0.009)	(0.011)	(0.011)	(0.010)
English as a second language	−0.002	0.001	−0.002	0.002	0.008
	(0.009)	(0.008)	(0.009)	(0.010)	(0.010)
Special education	−0.005	0.003	−0.002	0.000	0.006
	(0.005)	(0.005)	(0.006)	(0.006)	(0.006)
Seniority (0–3 years)		Y			Y
Retired teacher		Y			Y
Late hire		Y			Y
Licensure deficiency		Y			Y
Evaluation score				Y	Y
Observations	17,409	17,409	16,211	16,211	16,211

Notes:^*p < 0.05; ^**p < 0.01; ^***p < 0.001; ⁺p < 0.10. Cells represent average marginal effect estimates derived from logistic regression models. Robust standard errors reported in parentheses. The omitted licensure category in all models is elementary licensures. These analyses include 619 RIFed teachers in 2009 and 384 RIFed teachers in 2010 for whom data on all descriptive measures other than performance are available.

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