Skip to Main Content
Table 5.
Regression Results for Black, Hispanic, and Asian Enrollments
Dependent Variable (in natural logs)
Percent BlackPercent HispanicPercent Asian
CoeffSemi ElastCoeffSemi ElastCoeffSemi Elast
EstGross/NetEstGross/NetEstGross/Net
VARIABLES(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)
 Wins Only for Schools 
win −0.030 −3.0/−2.7 0.013 1.3/−1.0 −0.022 −2.2/1.9 
 (0.020)  (0.025)  (0.024)  
wint-1 −0.016 −1.6/−1.3 −0.008 −0.8/−3.0 −0.004 −0.4/3.8 
 (0.022)  (0.024)  (0.023)  
wint-2 0.009 0.9/1.2 0.006 0.7/−1.6 −0.027 −2.7/1.4 
 (0.027)  (0.027)  (0.023)  
wint-3 −0.031 −3.0/−2.7 −0.025 −2.5/−4.6 −0.027 −2.7/1.3 
 (0.022)  (0.035)  (0.028)  
wint-4 −0.023 −2.2/−1.9 −0.070** −6.8/−8.8 −0.027 −2.7/1.4 
 (0.022)  (0.030)  (0.029)  
WINT+1 −0.003 −0.3 0.022 2.3 −0.041* −4.0 
 (0.021)  (0.023)  (0.021)  
WINT+2 0.002 0.2 0.023 2.4 −0.020 −1.9 
 (0.019)  (0.030)  (0.018)  
p-value: WIN + lags = 0 0.287  0.032  0.462  
p-value: WIN leads = 0 0.965  0.616  0.136  
 Mixed Wins 
win −0.026 −2.5/−4.0 −0.036 −3.5/0.3 0.004 0.4/−2.9 
 (0.023)  (0.031)  (0.027)  
wint-1 0.026 2.6/1.1 −0.042 −4.1/−0.4 0.008 0.8/−2.6 
 (0.025)  (0.032)  (0.029)  
wint-2 0.005 0.5/−1.1 0.020 2.0/6.0 0.011 1.1/−2.3 
 (0.024)  (0.032)  (0.023)  
wint-3 0.008 0.8/−0.8 0.027 2.7/6.8 −0.027 −2.6/−5.9 
 (0.022)  (0.034)  (0.022)  
wint-4 0.015 1.5/−0.1 0.045 4.6/8.7 −0.025 −2.4/−5.7 
 (0.025)  (0.035)  (0.028)  
WINT+1 0.016 1.6 −0.039 −3.8 0.034 3.5 
 (0.022)  (0.031)  (0.022)  
WINT+2 −0.003 −0.3 −0.014 −1.4 −0.009 −0.9 
 (0.024)  (0.039)  (0.024)  
p-value: WIN + lags = 0 0.309  0.028  0.413  
p-value: WIN leads = 0 0.646  0.355  0.068  
 No Wins for Schools 
win 0.025 2.6/1.8 −0.001 −0.1/−1.7 −0.024 −2.3/0.2 
 (0.016)  (0.025)  (0.015)  
wint-1 0.014 1.4/0.7 −0.011 −1.1/−2.7 −0.006 −0.6/2.0 
 (0.016)  (0.024)  (0.015)  
wint-2 0.000 0.0/−0.7 0.004 0.4/−1.2 −0.001 −0.1/2.4 
 (0.016)  (0.025)  (0.016)  
wint-3 0.001 0.1/−0.6 −0.007 −0.7/−2.3 −0.023 −2.3/0.3 
 (0.015)  (0.023)  (0.015)  
wint-4 0.019 1.9/1.2 0.020 2.0/0.4 −0.017 −1.7/0.9 
 (0.017)  (0.024)  (0.018)  
WINT+1 0.007 0.7 0.016 1.6 −0.026* −2.5 
 (0.017)  (0.026)  (0.015)  
WINT+2 0.005 0.5 0.025 2.5 −0.017 −1.7 
 (0.018)  (0.025)  (0.019)  
p-value: WIN + lags = 0 0.419  0.571  0.190  
p-value: WIN leads = 0 0.918  0.592  0.222  
Observations 6,643  5,651  6,643  
R2 0.303  0.579  0.406  
Number of Towns 288  269  288  
Dependent Variable (in natural logs)
Percent BlackPercent HispanicPercent Asian
CoeffSemi ElastCoeffSemi ElastCoeffSemi Elast
EstGross/NetEstGross/NetEstGross/Net
VARIABLES(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)
 Wins Only for Schools 
win −0.030 −3.0/−2.7 0.013 1.3/−1.0 −0.022 −2.2/1.9 
 (0.020)  (0.025)  (0.024)  
wint-1 −0.016 −1.6/−1.3 −0.008 −0.8/−3.0 −0.004 −0.4/3.8 
 (0.022)  (0.024)  (0.023)  
wint-2 0.009 0.9/1.2 0.006 0.7/−1.6 −0.027 −2.7/1.4 
 (0.027)  (0.027)  (0.023)  
wint-3 −0.031 −3.0/−2.7 −0.025 −2.5/−4.6 −0.027 −2.7/1.3 
 (0.022)  (0.035)  (0.028)  
wint-4 −0.023 −2.2/−1.9 −0.070** −6.8/−8.8 −0.027 −2.7/1.4 
 (0.022)  (0.030)  (0.029)  
WINT+1 −0.003 −0.3 0.022 2.3 −0.041* −4.0 
 (0.021)  (0.023)  (0.021)  
WINT+2 0.002 0.2 0.023 2.4 −0.020 −1.9 
 (0.019)  (0.030)  (0.018)  
p-value: WIN + lags = 0 0.287  0.032  0.462  
p-value: WIN leads = 0 0.965  0.616  0.136  
 Mixed Wins 
win −0.026 −2.5/−4.0 −0.036 −3.5/0.3 0.004 0.4/−2.9 
 (0.023)  (0.031)  (0.027)  
wint-1 0.026 2.6/1.1 −0.042 −4.1/−0.4 0.008 0.8/−2.6 
 (0.025)  (0.032)  (0.029)  
wint-2 0.005 0.5/−1.1 0.020 2.0/6.0 0.011 1.1/−2.3 
 (0.024)  (0.032)  (0.023)  
wint-3 0.008 0.8/−0.8 0.027 2.7/6.8 −0.027 −2.6/−5.9 
 (0.022)  (0.034)  (0.022)  
wint-4 0.015 1.5/−0.1 0.045 4.6/8.7 −0.025 −2.4/−5.7 
 (0.025)  (0.035)  (0.028)  
WINT+1 0.016 1.6 −0.039 −3.8 0.034 3.5 
 (0.022)  (0.031)  (0.022)  
WINT+2 −0.003 −0.3 −0.014 −1.4 −0.009 −0.9 
 (0.024)  (0.039)  (0.024)  
p-value: WIN + lags = 0 0.309  0.028  0.413  
p-value: WIN leads = 0 0.646  0.355  0.068  
 No Wins for Schools 
win 0.025 2.6/1.8 −0.001 −0.1/−1.7 −0.024 −2.3/0.2 
 (0.016)  (0.025)  (0.015)  
wint-1 0.014 1.4/0.7 −0.011 −1.1/−2.7 −0.006 −0.6/2.0 
 (0.016)  (0.024)  (0.015)  
wint-2 0.000 0.0/−0.7 0.004 0.4/−1.2 −0.001 −0.1/2.4 
 (0.016)  (0.025)  (0.016)  
wint-3 0.001 0.1/−0.6 −0.007 −0.7/−2.3 −0.023 −2.3/0.3 
 (0.015)  (0.023)  (0.015)  
wint-4 0.019 1.9/1.2 0.020 2.0/0.4 −0.017 −1.7/0.9 
 (0.017)  (0.024)  (0.018)  
WINT+1 0.007 0.7 0.016 1.6 −0.026* −2.5 
 (0.017)  (0.026)  (0.015)  
WINT+2 0.005 0.5 0.025 2.5 −0.017 −1.7 
 (0.018)  (0.025)  (0.019)  
p-value: WIN + lags = 0 0.419  0.571  0.190  
p-value: WIN leads = 0 0.918  0.592  0.222  
Observations 6,643  5,651  6,643  
R2 0.303  0.579  0.406  
Number of Towns 288  269  288  

Notes: Also included as explanatory variables: LOSE and 4 lags and 2 leads, time dummies, Percent nonwhite, Percent Aged 65 or Older, Percent Aged 17 or Less, Percent with BA, Percent No HS Degree, Percent of housing units with four or more people, and the natural logs of median family income, median house price, and the number of housing units all from the 1980 Decennial census.

Standard errors in parentheses.

*Statistically significant at the 10% level; **statistically significant at the 5% level.

Close Modal

or Create an Account

Close Modal
Close Modal