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Table 1.

Bismark's Rationality and Its Consequences

Instrumentally Rational BehaviorWhy Procedural Rationality Is NecessaryExamples from Bismark's Pre-unification Foreign Policy
Utility maximization Willingness to admit that constraints require trade-offs; deliberate about what constitutes truly vital interests Form alliances with unpalatable domestic and foreign policy partners; undermine conservative legitimist principles for greater goal of Prussian interests 
Situational judgments Conscious eschewing of heuristics that serve as general principles of conduct; rely on data-driven deliberation rather than simple theory-driven processing Advocate aggression against Austria and then pull back in the wake of victory; limit gains based on the power to consolidate 
Long-term thinking Deliberation to think through the consequences of impulsive action; objective recognition of trade-off between “two selves” Avoid making an enemy of Austria for short-term gains of expansion; pursue pragmatic peace with liberals in Prussia to consolidate new German state 
Strategic understanding Objectivity to judge our actions as others see them not as we wish to be seen; deliberation to put oneself in another's position Limit territorial gains to avoid broader European intervention in wake of the Austro-Prussian War 
Instrumentally Rational BehaviorWhy Procedural Rationality Is NecessaryExamples from Bismark's Pre-unification Foreign Policy
Utility maximization Willingness to admit that constraints require trade-offs; deliberate about what constitutes truly vital interests Form alliances with unpalatable domestic and foreign policy partners; undermine conservative legitimist principles for greater goal of Prussian interests 
Situational judgments Conscious eschewing of heuristics that serve as general principles of conduct; rely on data-driven deliberation rather than simple theory-driven processing Advocate aggression against Austria and then pull back in the wake of victory; limit gains based on the power to consolidate 
Long-term thinking Deliberation to think through the consequences of impulsive action; objective recognition of trade-off between “two selves” Avoid making an enemy of Austria for short-term gains of expansion; pursue pragmatic peace with liberals in Prussia to consolidate new German state 
Strategic understanding Objectivity to judge our actions as others see them not as we wish to be seen; deliberation to put oneself in another's position Limit territorial gains to avoid broader European intervention in wake of the Austro-Prussian War 
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