Table 1.
Disentangling Chance and Choice in Nuclear Brinkmanship
Mechanisms Concept mentioned in Schelling's Strategy of Conflict Relationship to choice 
accidents accident The decider has agency in the aftermath of the risk-generating event. 
 mechanical failure  
self-control panic The decider has agency but cannot control themselves. 
 madness  
 false alarm The decider has agency but acts on misperception. 
 misapprehension of enemy intentions  
control of others pre-delegation The decider does not have agency, a third party or unauthorized decider does. 
 mischief  
 limited war as a generator of risk The decider retains a choice, but the adversary also has agency over the decision for nuclear war. 
Mechanisms Concept mentioned in Schelling's Strategy of Conflict Relationship to choice 
accidents accident The decider has agency in the aftermath of the risk-generating event. 
 mechanical failure  
self-control panic The decider has agency but cannot control themselves. 
 madness  
 false alarm The decider has agency but acts on misperception. 
 misapprehension of enemy intentions  
control of others pre-delegation The decider does not have agency, a third party or unauthorized decider does. 
 mischief  
 limited war as a generator of risk The decider retains a choice, but the adversary also has agency over the decision for nuclear war. 
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