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Table 2.

Military Performance and FARC Desertion (dependent variable)

	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
Killed leaders X FARC area	2.2^∗∗ (0.6)	2.2^∗∗∗ (0.6)	1.0^∗∗ (0.3)
Rescue operation X FARC area				3.9^∗∗ (1.3)	3.8^∗∗ (1.2)	2.6^∗∗∗ (0.7)
Constant	1.0^∗ (0.4)	4.7 (4.5)	2.3 (2.7)	1.0^∗ (0.4)	4.7 (4.6)	2.3 (2.8)
N	6,105	6,105	6,072	6,105	6,105	6,072
Adjusted R^²	0.16	0.18	0.35	0.16	0.18	0.35
Control variables	no	yes	yes	no	yes	yes
Lagged dependent variable	no	no	yes	no	no	yes

	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
Killed leaders X FARC area	2.2^∗∗ (0.6)	2.2^∗∗∗ (0.6)	1.0^∗∗ (0.3)
Rescue operation X FARC area				3.9^∗∗ (1.3)	3.8^∗∗ (1.2)	2.6^∗∗∗ (0.7)
Constant	1.0^∗ (0.4)	4.7 (4.5)	2.3 (2.7)	1.0^∗ (0.4)	4.7 (4.6)	2.3 (2.8)
N	6,105	6,105	6,072	6,105	6,105	6,072
Adjusted R^²	0.16	0.18	0.35	0.16	0.18	0.35
Control variables	no	yes	yes	no	yes	yes
Lagged dependent variable	no	no	yes	no	no	yes

All models include department and month fixed effects. Standard errors (in parentheses) clustered at department level. Control variables: contact with FARC, military operations against FARC, coca cultivation area, population size, and gross domestic product.

p < 0.05,

p < 0.01,

p < 0.001

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